Business management books have been dealt a serious blow by the current economy. The only consolation? They're not alone. “The recession is impacting sales across categories—and business management is no exception,” says McGraw-Hill group publisher Gary M. Krebs.

Actually, there is one other consolation: a recession may in fact increase the need for business books, or so publishers hope. Says Krebs, “We see a lot of opportunity in this climate in publishing books that help managers get through difficult times, present lessons learned from the economic crisis and offer insights into business sectors that will grow as a result of Obama's stimulus package.”

While there aren't many books that can be rushed through the cycle and brought out in reaction to the current recession, publishers are emphasizing titles that run counter to the growth of recent years. These range from the latest case study of companies from author/phenomenon Jim Collins, How the Mighty Fall: And Why Some Companies Never Give In (currently #1 on Amazon's list of bestselling management books and #14 on PW's nonfiction list), to the Broadway Business title Fierce Leadership: A Bold Alternative to the Worst “Best” Practices of Business Today by Susan Scott, which rejects formerly accepted business practices such as keeping feedback anonymous, or McGraw-Hill's own Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity... Quickly! by Ray Salemi.

William Shinker, publisher of Gotham and Avery Books, takes a long view and sees a cycle repeating itself: “Every time there are upheavals in the U.S. economy, there are authors who emerge as the people who explain to business readers and the general public what is going on. For example, in the 1980s, when technology was changing everything, I was working at Warner Books and was involved in acquiring and marketing two books that became huge bestsellers: John Naisbitt's Megatrends and the paperback of Tom Peters and Robert Waterman's In Search of Excellence. Then, in the early 1990s, when I was the publisher of HarperCollins and HarperBusiness, we published two books that gave Americans a road map to how they should run their businesses: Michael Hammer and James Champy's Reengineering the Corporation and Jim Collins's first book, Built to Last. Each of these books became totems of their era. Today we find ourselves in a worldwide recession, and I believe new voices will emerge.” One contender is the September Gotham title Exploiting Chaos: 150 Ways to Spark Innovation During Times of Change by Jeremy Gutsche (whose Web site, Trendhunter.com, attracts eight million views a month).

Phil Revzin, senior editor at St. Martin's, says, “The successful books and successful proposals all offer something very tangible for beaten-down business people. But no wailing. Everyone knows business is bad, and they're looking for very specific ideas, stories or a spark that can help them start a new business or revive an old one.” One such option is strengthening an international presence, as suggested by Bruce Alan Johnson and R. William Ayres in Carry a Chicken in Your Lap: Or Whatever It Takes to Globalize Your Business.

Amacom executive editor Ellen Kadin says, “Most companies manage using two sets of rules: the playbook they use for better times and the one they adopt in anticipation of—or in response to—economic downturns. But Philip Kotler and John Caslione, the authors of Chaotics: The Business of Managing and Marketing in the Age of Turbulence, point out that when economic turbulence hits, traditional strategy is worthless, and even skilled business leaders tend to make bad management mistakes.” Kadin notes that not only does Chaotics have a global message but it seems to have global appeal as well: translation rights have already sold in 22 languages.

Forthcoming Sourcebooks titles include The Golden Rules for Managers: 119 Incredible Lessons for Leadership Success. “The recession has definitely hurt sales in the business category and has affected initial store buys for new titles,” says Peter Lynch, editorial manager, trade. “In general, we're seeing a decrease in the number of titles carried and more focus on bestselling titles and authors. Recession-themed books are selling strongly.”

Rick Wolff, executive editor of Grand Central and publisher and editor-in-chief of the house's Business Plus imprint, says, “There has been a considerable downturn in business books, not only over the last four or five years but in recent months. Business books as a genre have been suffering because of the recession, and I do think that's going to continue on a little bit longer. I predict a turnaround by the end of summer.”

In response, Business Plus is taking a two-pronged approach, reissuing classics (see sidebar, p. 23) from the backlist and hunting for promising new directions. Wolff points to Six Pixels of Separation: Everyone Is Connected. Connect Your Business to Everyone by Mitch Joel on business usage of social networking sites (according to Wolff, “If Facebook were a nation, it would be the sixth largest nation in the world”) as a title with potential. Perseus is also turning to backlist, offering a third edition of William Bridges's Managing Transitions this fall—the first two editions have sold over 400,000 copies.

Another recession-ready title is Geoff Colvin's The Upside of the Downturn: Ten Management Strategies to Prevail in the Recession and Thrive in the Aftermath. Colvin is senior editor-at-large for Fortune magazine, and when an article by him on how to thrive in the downturn appeared in the magazine in January, Portfolio pounced on it, says president and publisher Adrian Zackheim.

Zackheim echoes the wisdom proffered by many of the titles in this category when he points out that even a recession offers opportunities for some. Indeed, Zackheim sounds almost giddy about the downturn when he says, “The fun of this is that change is so constant. The ideas that we had about what to do that were relevant last year are not relevant this year. That's the reason we have to publish new books! Sometimes the changing situation is downright scary, but then people need our books all the more.”

Top Five Business Book Trends to Turn Things Around
By Natalie Danford

Few people know more about the business management category than 800 CEO Read founder Jack Covert and president Todd Sattersten. Both agree that sales have slowed somewhat, and both believe that the year's “big book” has yet to arrive. They are confident, however, that one or two trends are sure to emerge soon and reinvigorate the category. Here are their top five picks for that next big thing.

1. Sustainability

“Our favorite sustainability title is still Green to Gold, a Yale University Press book now in paperback from Wiley,” says Sattersten. “It was written by two guys who really looked at green from a specific business standpoint, so that any Fortune 500 manager could understand why it made sense rather than it being political or cultural.”

2. Design

Sattersten quotes Steve Jobs on design: Design is not just what it looks like and feels like. Design is how it works. “In the past, design was about looking cool or being fast and red. Now we have a much broader view,” says Sattersten. Titles on this subject include Change by Design by IDEO CEO and president Tim Brown (Harper Business, Sept.) and last year's The Designful Company: How to Build a Culture of Nonstop Innovation by Marty Neumeier (Peachpit).

3. Talent

Covert says talent, or inspired personnel, is even more critical in a recession: “The company runs like a smooth machine when you're fat, but when you're skinny, the problems show up and you need to be able to analyze your people.” Sattersten adds, “You can emulate anything else. You can copy a product. The only thing that's unique is people.” Earlier titles on the subject, such as Talent Is Overrated by Geoff Colvin (Portfolio) and The Element: How Finding Your Passion Changes Everything by Ken Robinson (Viking) are both selling well.

4. Simplicity

Sattersten tells a story of simplicity from last year's The Breakthrough Imperative: How the Best Managers Get Outstanding Results by Mark Gottfredson and Steve Schaubert (Collins Business): “The authors give the example of a windshield maker that decided rather than offering customers adhesive so they could apply it to have tinted windows, they would provide windows from the factory with the tinting already in them. That doubled the number of units they had and they didn't count on the complexity it added to the system, the warehouse space they would need. And then people didn't want the windows.”

5. Decision Making

You shall know decision-making books by their titles: Predictably Irrational; Nudge; Sway. Even such huge hits as Freakonomics and Blink are at heart titles about how decisions are made. Says Sattersten, “These books are all about microeconomics, not macroeconomics like growth and unemployment. That's what we used to see back in the days of the 'growth books.' Now we're seeing this shift toward decision making at the personal level and all the little tiny decisions that make up macroeconomics. That's going to be a theme that continues to propel us into the future.”
Books Mentioned in This Feature
How the Mighty Fall: And Why Some Companies Never Give In by Jim Collins. Jim Collins (HarperCollins, dist.), $23.99, May. ISBN 978-0-9773264-1-9.

Fierce Leadership: A Bold Alternative to the Worst “Best” Practices of Business Today by Susan Scott. Broadway Business, $25, Sept. ISBN 978-0-385-52900-6.

Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity... Quickly! by Ray Salemi. McGraw-Hill, $19.95, Oct. ISBN 978-0-07-163715-2.

Megatrends by John Naisbitt. Warner Books, $15.50, 1982. ISBN 978-0-446-51251-0.

In Search of Excellence by Thomas J. Peters and Robert H. Waterman. Warner Books, $15.99 paper, 1988. ISBN 978-0-446-38507-7.

Reengineering the Corporation by Michael Hammer and James Champy. HarperCollins, $16.95, 1993. ISBN 978-0-88730-640-2.

Built to Last by Jim Collins. HarperBusiness, $27.50, 1994. ISBN 978-0-88730-671-6.

Exploiting Chaos: 150 Ways to Spark Innovation During Times of Change by Jeremy Gutsche. Gotham Books, $20, Sept. ISBN 978-1-592-40507-7.

Carry a Chicken in Your Lap: Or Whatever It Takes to Globalize Your Business by Bruce Alan Johnson and R. William Ayres. St. Martin's Press, $24.99, Oct. ISBN 978-0-312-56553-4.

Chaotics: The Business of Managing and Marketing in the Age of Turbulence by Philip Kotler and John Caslione. Amacom, $25, June. ISBN 978-0-8144-1521-4.

The Golden Rules for Managers: 119 Incredible Lessons for Leadership Success by Frank McNair. Sourcebooks, $18.99, July. ISBN 978-1-4022-1528-5.

Managing Transitions: Making the Most of Change in Today's Economy, 3rd edition, by William Bridges. Perseus, $16.95, Oct. ISBN 978-0-7382-0824-4.

Six Pixels of Separation: Everyone Is Connected. Connect Your Business to Everyone by Mitch Joel. Grand Central/Business Plus, $26.99, Sept. ISBN 978-0-446-54823-6.

The Upside of the Downturn: Ten Management Strategies to Prevail in the Recession and Thrive in the Aftermath by Geoff Colvin. Portfolio, $24.95, June. ISBN 978-1-59184-296-5.

Green to Gold by Daniel C. Esty and Andrew S. Winston. Wiley, $19.95, Jan. ISBN 978-0-470-39374-1.

Change by Design by Tim Brown. HarperBusiness, $27.99, Sept. ISBN 978-0-06-176608-4.

The Designful Company: How to Build a Culture of Nonstop Innovation by Marty Neumeier. Peachpit Press, $24.99, 2008. ISBN 978-0-321-58006-1.

Talent Is Overrated by Geoff Colvin. Portfolio, $25.95, 2008. ISBN 978-1-59184-224-8.

The Element: How Finding Your Passion Changes Everything by Ken Robinson. Viking, $25.95, Jan. ISBN 978-0-670-02047-8.

The Breakthrough Imperative: How the Best Managers Get Outstanding Results by Mark Gottfredson and Steve Schaubert. Collins Business, $26.95, 2008. ISBN 978-0-06-135814-2.

Predictably Irrational, revised and expanded, by Dan Ariely. Harper, $27.99, May. ISBN 978-0-06-185454-5.

Nudge, revised and expanded, by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein. Penguin, $16, Feb. ISBN 978-0-14-311526-7.

Sway by Ori Brafman and Rom Brafman. Broadway Business, $14, June. ISBN 978-0-385-53060-6.

Freakonomics by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner. Morrow, $19.95, 2005. ISBN 978-0-7394-6256-0.

Blink by Malcolm Gladwell. Back Bay $15.99, 2007. ISBN 978-0-316-01066-5.

The Management Myth: Management Consulting Past, Present, and Largely Bogus by Matthew Stewart. Norton, $27.95, Aug. ISBN 978-0-393-06553-4.

Lincoln on Leadership by Donald T. Phillips. Grand Central/Business Plus, $13.95, 1993, ISBN 978-0-446-39459-8.

Leadership Secrets of Attila the Hun by Wess Roberts. Grand Central/Business Plus, $13.99, 1990. ISBN 978-0-446-39106-1.

Winston Churchill, CEO: 25 Lessons for Bold Business Leaders by Alan Axelrod. Sterling, $22.95, May. ISBN 978-1-4027-7099-9.

Power Ambition Glory: The Stunning Parallels Between Great Leaders of the Ancient World and Today... and the Lessons You Can Learn by Steve Forbes and John Prevas. Crown Business, $26, June. ISBN 978-0-307-40844-0.

Borrowing Brilliance: The Six Steps to Business Innovation by Building on the Ideas of Others by David Kord Murray. Gotham Books, $26, Sept. ISBN 978-1-59240-478-0.

Motherhood Is the New MBA by Shari Storm. SMP/Thomas Dunne, $23.99, Sept. ISBN 978-0-312-54431-7.

Womenomics by Claire Shipman and Katty Kay. HarperBusiness, $27.99, June. ISBN 978-0-06-169718-0.

Down to Business: The First 10 Steps to Entrepreneurship for Women by Clara Villarosa. Avery, $17, Sept. ISBN 978-1-58333-354-9.

When Women Lead: The Extraordinary Links Between Joy, Energy and Remarkable Performance by Joanna Barsh and Susie Cranston. Crown Business, $27.50, Sept. ISBN 978-0-307-46169-8.
History Repeats
Many business book publishers are looking back to the future for what works in a down market. “During tough times, people are looking for answers, whether they come from Lincoln or Churchill or a famous general or Attila the Hun,” says Rick Wolff of Grand Central/Business Plus. The imprint is planning to reissue Lincoln on Leadership by Donald T. Phillips and Leadership Secrets of Attila the Hun by Wess Roberts in trade paperback, a format Wolff says is particularly well adapted to these titles.

Likewise, last month Sterling published Winston Churchill, CEO: 25 Lessons for Bold Business Leaders by Alan Axelrod, which explores the British prime minister's leadership style and specifically how he made the decisions he did during WWII. “Churchill converted crisis into victory,” says senior editor Barbara Berger, “and although he sometimes failed, he embraced errors and used them to become stronger.”

Power Ambition Glory: The Stunning Parallels Between Great Leaders of the Ancient World and Today... and the Lessons You Can Learn by former presidential candidate Steve Forbes and John Prevas, and with a foreword by another former presidential candidate, Rudy Giuliani, looks not just at the wisdom of one figure but instead considers the tactics used by conquerors from Persian king Cyrus the Great to Google founders Serge Brin and Larry Page.

If all this “borrowing” makes you uncomfortable, relax. Gotham Books associate editor Jessica Sindler says that Gotham's Borrowing Brilliance: The Six Steps to Business Innovation by Building on the Ideas of Others by David Kord Murray shows that “there is no such thing as a truly original idea. The greatest creative thinkers through history have understood this and used it to their advantage—Bill Gates 'borrowed brilliance' to create Microsoft, and long before that Sir Isaac Newton used the same thinking techniques to arrive at his theory of gravity. This is a controversial, 'big think' business book that works on a high level, challenging our notions of intellectual property and authorship. Murray lifts the veil off the creative process to show us that creativity is not the result of divine intervention; it is something that can be learned.”
Women Step Up
While there is no doubt that business books, like business itself, are cyclical, certain topics are evergreen. One of those, apparently, is management by and of women, which continues to serve as a focus for titles in this category year after year.

Speaking about Shari Storm's Motherhood Is the New MBA, Thomas Dunne associate editor Toni Plummer says, “I could see women really responding to this book, even those who don't normally read business books—like me. Shari manages to give solid, practical lessons in management by drawing from simple parenting rules, but she also reaffirms and inspires with her bigger message: as a mother, you possess experience and knowledge, and that makes you a valuable asset to your company.”

HarperBusiness has announced a 100,000-copy first printing for Womenomics by Claire Shipman of Good Morning America and Katty Kay of BBC News. Says publisher Hollis Heimbouch, “The authors, both mothers and successful professionals, don't pretend to have all the answers, but they do offer women an inspiring message: First, that women have more power to negotiate their working arrangements than ever before, as numerous studies have shown that women-led companies are not only more profitable but also report higher levels of employee satisfaction. Second, that women won't ever begin to resolve the question of work-life balance until they take a honest look at their own priorities and values. Third, because female professionals are more in demand than ever before, women should take comfort in knowing that they can make choices and they can pace their careers in ways that take into account other priorities—whether it's raising children, volunteering for a local political campaign or training for a marathon.” The book bears blurbs from the likes of Diane Sawyer and Tina Brown.

Avery senior editor Lucia Watson says that the house's forthcoming Down to Business: The First 10 Steps to Entrepreneurship for Women by Clara Villarosa (founder of the Hue-Man Experience bookstores) has something other books for women lack: practical advice. Says Watson, “Clara's advice is step-by-step, realistic and absolutely bulletproof. And it's based on her experience building one of the best specialty bookstores in the country. I also think Clara's personal story will resonate with many women right now—she began the Hue-Man Experience after being in the corporate world for many years and then finding herself suddenly out of work and looking to start fresh.”

Finally, McKinsey & Company consultants Joanna Barsh and Susie Cranston believe women can actually enjoy their responsibilities. They explain their theory in When Women Lead: The Extraordinary Links Between Joy, Energy and Remarkable Performance, due from Crown Business in September, when the duo will embark on a five-city tour.