cover image 20/20 FORESIGHT: Crafting Strategy in an Uncertain World

20/20 FORESIGHT: Crafting Strategy in an Uncertain World

Hugh Courtney, . . Harvard Business School, $29.95 (209pp) ISBN 978-1-57851-266-9

In this intriguing, clearly reasoned book, McKinsey consultant Courtney argues convincingly that managers can approach uncertainty systematically. Most managers, he says, either ignore potential problems or try to map out them out in painful detail. The better approach, Courtney contends, is to classify risk (e.g., a relatively clear future, a range of possibilities or true ambiguity) and hone a strategy based on a checklist he provides for each category. This appealing approach could become an integral part of the manager's toolkit. (Oct.)